Lazio hosts CFR Cluj in round 5 of the Europa League group stage. The match will be played on Thursday, November 28th at Stadio Olimpico (Rome)
Lazio lost three of four rounds of the group stage and drove itself into a corner in one of them – it happened in the match against the upcoming opponent in Romania. Now the Eagles are in 3rd place in the standings, and even victories in two remaining rounds do not guarantee them the opportunity to continue the fight for the trophy. Lazio is behind second Cluj by 6 points. That is, it needs to win in the upcoming match and the next one and to hope that Cluj will lose to Celtic at home in the last round. It is a possible option but an outside one - Celtic has secured a ticket to the playoffs. And it can field a semi-regular squad in Romania.
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As I said, Romanians are ahead of Lazio by six points. Even a draw in the upcoming match will bring them to the playoffs. And the loss, in principle, is not fatal for them - it will just make them nervous in the last round, where CFR again will be okay even with a draw. But just the available margin of safety will play Old Harry with Cluj in the upcoming match. It will be very difficult for coach Petrescu to sensitize the players to full dedication in the current tournament situation.
The Romans have nothing to lose, so they will work like dogs. Their squad is many times more powerful than that of the Romanians. Yes, Lazio lost the first away match, but it will probably not disgrace in such a way at home. The Eagles have minimal chances to get out of the group, but they are so far. Therefore, the team of Inzaghi will fight to the end. The Italians will certainly take vengeance for the last meeting with Romanians, and it will be taken with a confident difference of more than one goal. Lazio gained eight victories in the last 12 home games. And all eight were gained with an advantage of more than one ball. Cluj won only once in its last ten away games and lost six matches. However, the rivals were not the top clubs, even by Romanian standards – Vitoruul, Astra, and Politekhnika. Lazio is many times stronger than these teams.
Prediction for the match: Lazio to win with -1.0 handicap