Latvia take on the visitors Andorra in the round 1 match of League D in UEFA Nations League. The match will be played on Friday, June 3rd at Daugavas stadions (Riga).
Latvia is weak, but still not hopeless. The Red-Whites even have a performance in the final tournament to their credit. In the Euro 2004 qualifier, Verpakovskis and company took 2nd place in the group, knocked out the Turks in the playoffs, and even went 0-0 with Germany in the main stage. But now there is no such success. Still, it cannot be said that the Balts are completely weak, they scored 9 points in last year's qualification. On the other hand, 6 of them were taken in games against Gibraltar. And it’s not for nothing that now they have to play in the lowest division of the League of Nations. On the other hand, this is a chance to get a "preferential" pass to the Euro - but for this you need to win a group.
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Andorra was unusually successful last year. The Tricolors were finally able to finish in their qualifying group in penultimate place. They also took 2 victories in 1 cycle, and in official fights! But the secret of the underdog's breakthrough is that San Marino ended up in the same group - they improved their statistics with it. This should not be overestimated, as well as the fact that 2022 started with wins against St. Kitts and Grenada, exotic Central American rivals. In all other matches, and this in 2021, there were 8 of them in the qualification, they ended in defeats. Yes, they scored against the Poles and, twice, the Hungarians, and with Albania both in the spring and in the autumn, it was 0-1, but still the final result was the same - another defeat. Well, now the opponents will be simpler. Although, of course, they are clearly stronger than San Marino and visitors from the Caribbean region, which have been beaten over the past year.
In both past draws of the League of Nations, the teams have already crossed paths. And three times in a row Andorra managed to end the game in a draw. And only in November 2020, the Latvians broke through: they took a crushing 5-0 victory. It is unlikely that Latvia will completely repeat the result of the previous head-to-head match. But you can try the option with a handicap "-1"
Prediction for the match: Latvia to win with -1.0 handicap.