Kauno Zalgiris take on the visitors Lech Poznan in the second leg of UEFA Conference League qualification quarterfinals. First leg result: 1-3. The match will be played on Thursday, August 3rd at Darius and Girėnas Stadium (Kaunas).
Before the first meeting of these teams, a game with goals from both sides was predicted, and that's exactly what happened, except the Polish team didn't step up in the second half. The Lithuanian team often conceded three goals in the first half, and in the second half, the Polish team woke up, managing to pull back one goal. Currently, Kauno are in a very difficult state, struggling significantly in their country's championship, and they seem to have forgotten when was the last time they won. As for the upcoming match, even though the Poles can comfortably maintain their two-goal advantage, it's unlikely they will do so, and another defeat awaits Kauno. In the 9 previous matches of their country's championship, Kauno have only managed to secure one victory, so there is a high probability that the rematch with the Polish team will also end in defeat for them.
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Lech started this season quite well, winning their first two matches in the national championship, as well as their first European cup match. As I mentioned before, everything was in the hands of the Polish team in the first match, but they stopped in the halftime, resulting in a less threatening final score than it could have been. It's unlikely that Lech will travel to Lithuania to settle for a draw and play for a 0-0 result. Much more likely, the Polish team will continue to play as they did at the start of the first match, and they can secure a victory here based on their class. The odds for a clean victory for the favorite are quite acceptable, as offered by the bookmakers.
There's no need to overthink it; Lech looks quite convincing in the starting matches of this season, and they can certainly handle the Lithuanians who haven't won in a long time. So, my choice for the bet here would be: W2 (Lech's victory). One can also try a small negative handicap on the away team for those who want to aim for a higher coefficient.
Prediction for the match: Lech Poznan to win.