Karagumruk take on the visitors Hatayspor in the round 5 match of Turkish Super Lig. The match will be played on Monday, September 18th at Atatürk Olimpiyat (Istanbul).
Fatih Karagumruk have established itself as a solid team in the top half of the Turkish league table. After returning to the Super Lig, the team spent three seasons there, finishing eighth twice and even securing a seventh-place finish last season. Last season, Fatih conceded an average of about 1.5 goals per game but scored more than two on average. So far in the current season, this team has not played a match with over 2.5 goals, but sooner or later, it's bound to happen. Twice this season, Fatih has come close to scoring at least three goals in a match, defeating Istanbul (2-0) and drawing with Ankaragucu (1-1). Last season, in a home match against Hatayspor, the hosts alone exceeded the 2.5 goal mark.
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Hatayspor finished at the bottom of the Super Lig table last season and, based on sporting principles, should have faced relegation. However, they managed to stay in the top division of the country, and at the start of the new season, they are performing just as well as, if not better than, Fatih. In four rounds, Hatayspor have not suffered a defeat, scoring eight goals (an average of two per game) and conceding four (an average of exactly one per game). Yes, two matches ended in goalless draws. However, in two of them, Hatayspor, in partnership with their opponents, treated the audience to a festival of goals: an away thrashing of Pendikspor (5-1) and a high-scoring home match with Adana Demirspor (3-3).
I believe that a minimum of three goals will be scored in this match. It's about time that Fatih's players played a game with over 2.5 goals. Hatayspor's style of play will only help in achieving this. Both the home team and the visitors can score at least a goal or two. They are also capable of conceding the same amount. In their last two direct encounters, Fatih and Hatayspor exchanged dominant home victories with the same score of 3-0. So even if one of the teams individually exceeds the required total in this match, it's unlikely to surprise anyone. My prediction is Over 2.5 goals; I expect a minimum of three goals in this match.
Prediction for the match: Over 2.5 scored goals.
