Juventus take on the visitors Cremonese in the round 35 match of Italian Serie A. The match will be played on Sunday, May 14th at Allianz Stadium (Turin).
It is still uncertain whether Juventus will be punished with deduction of points again in the championship or not. And until the decision is final, the Turin team will not give up. While the Europa League is important, they also need to fight for a top-four position in Serie A. So far, Juventus is handling the task and sits in second place in the table. In the home match against the league's underdog, Cremonese, the players of the Old Lady cannot afford to drop points. I believe that based on their class, the hosts will secure a victory. However, it may not be a convincing win, with under 4.5 total goals. In the last five matches involving Juventus in Serie A, no more than three goals have been scored. And certainly, more than four goals have rarely been scored.
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Cremonese are currently positioned second to last in the table, and yes, the team still has real chances of avoiding relegation. They are only six points behind Verona in 17th place. It must be acknowledged that Davide Ballardini's team does not give up, they fight and have been undefeated in the last three matches (one win and two draws). In their recent away match, the Tigers even took points from Milan (1-1). But it is unlikely that the modest team from the relegation zone will achieve a second mini-miracle in a row. In March, Cremonese lost away to Sassuolo (2-3), and in April to Udinese (0-3). I believe it is time for them to suffer another defeat in May.
Despite the visitors’ extreme motivation to earn points and Juventus' fatigue after their match against Sevilla in the Europa League a few days before this match, I consider the hosts clear favorites. Bookmakers agree with me and offer a very low odds for Juventus' victory. Nevertheless, Cremonese will not give up without a fight, and Juventus is tired, plus it has been a while since they have shown outstanding performances in the championship. Therefore, I will bet on the favorite's victory with under 4.5 total goals. In fact, this prediction has been successful in Juventus' previous two matches (2-0 against Atalanta and 2-1 against Lecce). Cremonese has had under 4.5 total goals in eight out of their last nine championship matches. In the first round of the current season, they lost 0-1 to Juventus at their home ground. Even considering all their problems and fatigue, Juventus is obligated to prevail against an opponent of this level at their home stadium. And I believe they will do it. However, I don't expect many goals in the match. My bet is Home Win + Under 4.5 goals.
Prediction for the match: Juventus to win and under 4.5 scored goals.
