Italy hosts Netherlands in round 4 of the UEFA Nations League A. The match will be played on Wednesday, October 14th at Gewiss Stadium (Bergamo)
The Italian national team leads in Group A1. The Italians achieve results without scoring a huge number of goals, but, as they say, score one and don't concede. By this principle, the Italians manage to gain draws with Poland and Bosnia (0:0 and 1:1) and a victory over the Netherlands (0:1). Italy is good in defense, and I think it will be difficult for the Dutch to breach its rears.
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The Netherlands national team is in second place, but the Dutch can drop to third in case of defeat, so they will do everything necessary to take away three points. The Netherlands also does not like to score many goals, but it turns out to gain points consistently. The Dutch tied with Bosnia (0:0), gained a 1:0 victory over the Poles, but suffered a 0: 1 defeat from Italy. The Oranges prefer to play counterattacking football, as there are fast flanks, but I doubt that this style of game will help the Netherlands score a large number of goals in the upcoming match.
Both teams do not like to dominate in the last third of the field. The Dutch use counterattacks, while the Italians prefer to play defensive football. In this situation, the fans will again see one or two goals. Four of the last five matches of the Netherlands ended with Under 1.5 goals scored. In three out of four head-to-head matches, no more than two goals were scored. Therefore, I would not dare to bet on any outcome, but I can say with confidence that there will not be many goals in the upcoming game. Most likely, the game will be quite tough, with a struggle in the center of the field. There will not be many dangerous attempts, so the audience will not see more than two goals scored.
Prediction for the match: Under 2.5 goals scored
