Italy hosts Moldova in a friendly international match. The match will be played on Wednesday, October 7th at Stadio Artemio Franchi (Florence)
The Italians have chosen a rather strange opponent to assay their strength before the matches in the Nations League. The Italians gained three super major victories in the previous three years. They beat Liechtenstein twice (6-0 and 5-0) and quite unexpectedly destroyed the Armenian team (9-1). And that’s all. The rest of the victories of the Italian national team were much more modest in terms of the score, and I can’t say that it is usual to see how the Italians score three goals or more in one match, no matter what rival opposes them. Of course, Roberto Mancini will check the reserves of the national team, and perhaps there will be quite a few debutants in the lineup. I do not think that we should expect a hail of goals against the Moldovans. The top national team will probably win with a score of 2-0 or 3-0.
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Moldovans have turned into football dwarfs long ago. Moldovan footballers rarely gain victories and cannot boast of high scoring. What can we say about the matches of Moldova against top teams? It faced a very powerful national team in the UEFA EURO 2021 qualifiers, namely France. The Moldovans lost at home (1-4) but gave a real fight to the Tricolors on the road and lost only 1-2. The Moldovans' motivation to prove themselves against the background of the top team is clearly working, and we shouldn’t exclude the factor of underestimation of this team on the part of big rivals. The Moldova national team has not lost with a shameful goal difference for more than eight years, and it is a good reason to believe in this team in the upcoming match.
It is unlikely that the Italians will strive to tear the Moldovans apart. No, it will be just an open training session for the hosts, and they have to gain victory without straining. However, they are unlikely to hammer their opponent. Therefore, I decided to bet on a +4.5 handicap of the Moldova national team.
Prediction for the match: Moldova to win with +4.5 handicap
