Israel take on the visitors Andorra in the round 4 match of UEFA Euro qualification. The match will be played on Monday, June 19th at Teddy Stadium (Jerusalem).
The Israeli national team, which has accustomed us to quite quality football in recent years, is currently not performing well in the ongoing Euro 2024 qualifying cycle. They started with a home draw against Kosovo (1-1), where they were considered the favorites but had to escape defeat in reality. This was followed by a predictable loss away to the more skillful Switzerland (0-3). Only in the third round did they manage to secure their first victory by defeating Belarus (2-1) in a very tough match, where the opponent unexpectedly led until the 85th minute. Yes, Israel is the clear favorite in the match against Andorra. However, do I have confidence in a crushing victory for the hosts? Personally, I do not.
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Many, including myself, expected Andorra to suffer a heavy defeat against Switzerland in the previous match of the Euro 2024 qualifying cycle. However, it turned out that the "Red Crusaders" scored two goals before halftime and then settled down, allowing Andorra to pull one back. The end result was a 1-2 defeat. In another home match of the qualification, the footballers from the dwarf country also lost to Romania, but not by a large margin (0-2). And in the away match against Kosovo, they even managed to secure a point with a 1-1 draw. This is the same Kosovo team that the Israelis couldn't defeat at home.
In general, the favorite in this pairing is obvious, but I still do not recommend placing heavy bets on a big victory for the hosts. Andorra has been undefeated in ten consecutive matches, and in the last 15 matches, they have suffered a heavy defeat only twice. It's worth noting that not all their opponents during this period were at the level of Gibraltar or Liechtenstein. They faced teams like Switzerland, Kosovo, Romania, Albania, Austria, and Hungary. All of them were expected to have an easy stroll in their matches against Andorra, but even when they managed to secure victories, it was by a margin of one or two goals at most. Therefore, in the upcoming match, I would consider a handicap bet of (+2.5) for the guests. Since Israel crushed this opponent twice during the Euro 2016 qualification, Andorra has become stronger since then.
Prediction for the match: Andorra to win with +2.5.
