Honka take on the visitors VPS in the round 14 match of Finish Veikkausliiga. The match will be played on Tuesday, June 27th at Tapiolan Urheilupuisto (Espoo)
Last season, Honka finished third in the regular championship standings, made it to the Championship group, and ultimately secured the bronze medals of the championship. This year, the team will strive to at least replicate their success. So far, they have been managing the minimum task of making it to the top six, currently sitting in fifth place in the table. It's true that they don't win often, with only four victories at the moment. However, they have already defeated two bottom teams from the relegation zone at home: Mariehamn (2-0) and Lahti (3-0). Now another team from the lower part of the table is visiting Honka, and the hosts are obliged to take three points in this match.
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VPS Vaasa finished the regular season in the tenth position last year and managed to avoid the playoffs for the right to stay in the league. However, things are noticeably worse for this team at the moment. In 11 matches, they have only accumulated six points, suffered seven defeats, and rightfully sit at the bottom of the league table. In the last four league matches, VPS Vaasa hasn't even been able to secure a draw: they lost to Ilves Tampere (0-2), KTP (0-1), SJK Seinajoki (1-2), and KuPS (0-2). Their away performances have been awful, with only one point earned in five away matches in the league.
Even an inconsistent Honka should be able to defeat an opponent of this level who loses to almost everyone. If they can't overcome the worst team in the league, then who else can they defeat? The head-to-head statistics are in favor of the hosts - Honka has won four out of the last five meetings against this opponent: 3-2, 4-0, 1-0, 4-0. True, VPS Vaasa managed to hold a draw (0-0) against Honka at home in April this year. However, it's unlikely that the league underdog will be able to replicate that result away from home. My prediction is Home Win (1). And if you have doubts about the hosts' victory, you can go for 1X + Over 1.5 goals. Two goals are likely to occur in this match, and Honka will not lose at least (the odds won't be significantly lower than for the favorite's victory).
Prediction for the match: Honka to win.
