Holstein Kiel take on the visitors St. Pauli in the round 33 match of German Bundesliga 2. The match will be played on Friday, May 19th at Holstein-Stadion (Kiel).
Holstein Kiel, before the final rounds of the second German Bundesliga, have 43 points and is positioned ninth in the overall team standings. Over the past three weeks, the "Storks" suffered three consecutive crushing defeats against Heidenheim, Darmstadt, and Fortuna. In all three matches, Holstein Kiel's players conceded three goals and failed to score any. However, in the previous round, they put an end to this "dark" streak by defeating Karlsruher SC (2:1) on their home turf. This victory marked the team's sixth win at home this season. Additionally, in games played in front of their home fans, Holstein Kiel has recorded four draws and six defeats, with a total goal difference of 26:25.
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St. Pauli, after 32 rounds, hold the fifth position in the current ranking table. The "Pirates" have 54 points, but with two rounds remaining, they are trailing Hamburg, who occupies the third place, by six points. Furthermore, Hamburg has a better goal difference, which is crucial in the case of points being equal. Essentially, Fabian Hürzeler's team no longer has a realistic chance to compete for the final promotion spot. They could have still been in the race if St. Pauli had defeated Fortuna Düsseldorf in the previous round on their home ground. However, despite a significant gameplay advantage, the St. Pauli players couldn't find the key to the opponent's goal. As a result, the match ended in a goalless draw, which did not satisfy either side. St. Pauli's away statistics in the current season are as follows: six wins, three draws, and seven defeats, with 27 goals scored and 25 conceded.
Both teams lack significant motivation for the upcoming match and can afford to play for their own pleasure. I believe that in such a situation, we can expect goals. Holstein Kiel has failed to score only in one home match, and their defense regularly makes mistakes. On the other hand, the absence of goals in a match involving St. Pauli is more of an exception than a rule. I believe that in this final meeting, everything will fall into place, and the visitors can once again count on several scoring opportunities. Head-to-head clashes between these rivals usually result in surpassing the standard total goals. My prediction: "Over 2.5 goals."
Prediction for the match: Over 2.5 scored goals.
