Heracles hosts Fortuna Sittard in round 22 of Dutch Eredivisie. The match will be played on Friday, February 7th at Erve Asito (Almelo)
I want to indicate my decision on the bet right away. Bookmakers consider Heracles a favorite and give much lower coefficients for its victory. Why? The team takes 10th place in the standings and loses in the last three matches in a row. The team conceded five goals in them. Indeed, Heracles scored only one point in the last five games of the championship and lost four of them. Of course, it conceded goals into its net in all five games. In general, the opponents scored Heracles 31 times in 21 rounds. By the way, the upcoming one scored too, having brought the home game of the first round in a draw.
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Meanwhile, Fortune is only three points behind the upcoming opponent. It scored four points in the last two matches, having beaten Heerenveen, which is a line higher in the standings than Heracles, and tied against Sparta. And most importantly, Fortuna has 27 goals scored.
Over the past 17 years, the opponents have held 10 head-to-head meetings. Fortuna scored in half of them. I cannot predict whether it will take points from its distressed opponent in the upcoming match. But Fortuna is capable of scoring at least once, especially Heracles concedes in the last eight matches, regardless of the status of the tournament and the strength of the opponent. Even the 14th Emmen, who scored only 22 goals, scored Heracles in this 8-match segment. The goal scored by the visitors is evaluated rather high. Let me remind you, this is the Dutch championship, one of the most scoring in Europe. And bets on goals, especially in this version, as I propose, almost always justify themselves.
Prediction for the match: Fortuna Sittard to score over 0.5 goals
