Henan Jianye hosts Shandong Luneng in round 17 of Chinese Super League. The match will be played on Friday, July 12th at Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium (Zhengzhou)
Henan Jianye ranks eleventh in the Chinese Super League standings. They have 13 points after 16 matches (4 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses). If we consider the GD-xGD indicator, it becomes clear that Henan Jianye is actually in its place - their GD-xGD is (-1.43) - yes, there is underperforming, but it is not very substantial. Accordingly, conclusions about the game quality of this team suggest themselves. In 16 matches, Henan Jianye managed to score 19 times, while their xG is 18.64 - of course, you can complain and say that there is overperforming, but, in fact, it is not. The quality of delivered shots is pretty good (xG/Sh = 0.11), but the intensity lets down (xG90 = 1.12 - the tenth result in the league). In 16 matches, Henan Jianye allowed 26 times, while their xGA is 24.21 - there is underperforming, but it, too, is not very substantial yet. Henan Jianye allows quite dangerous shots: xGA/Sh = 0.15 (thirteenth place in the league), and the intensity of shots on goal of Henan Jianye is also quite high: xGA90 = 1.45.
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Shandong Luneng is in fourth place in the Chinese Super League standings. They have 28 points after 16 matches (8 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses). Shandong Luneng is a fairly solid team: there is a small overperforming on GD-xGD (their GD-xGD = 3.3), which is peculiar to the leaders; in terms of many other components, this team has not the brightest but included in the top results. In 16 matches, Shandong Luneng managed to score 28 times, while their xG = 26.22 (5th place in the league) - there is a small overperforming, but the result of xG is impressive. Shandong Luneng is also among the leaders in the quality of shots (their xG/Sh = 0.14 is second in the league), and the intensity is also good (xG90 = 1.55 is fifth in the league). In 16 matches, Shandong Luneng allowed 16 times with xGA = 17.55 (fifth place in the league), Shandong Luneng also does not allow high-quality shots on its goal: xGA/Sh = 0.09 (fifth place in the league), and the intensity of rivals’ shots is also not very high: xGA90 = 1.04 - also the fifth place in the league.
The difference in class is felt in this pair: a gray and unimpressive average team will play against the top club, which is absolutely deservedly among the leaders of the Chinese Super League standings. Here, as always, you can try different options, but I will take more practical and less risky one - a victory of Shandong Luneng.
Prediction for the match: Shandong Luneng to win