Heidelberg United take on the visitors Avondale in the round 22 match of Australina NPL Victoria. The match will be played on Saturday, June 15th.
Heidelberg United are currently positioned only in the tenth place in the Australian NPL Victoria table and is not fighting for a spot in the playoff tournament. It is logical that even in a home match against the leading Avondale, the team is considered a clear underdog by bookmakers. There is no point in arguing against it; most likely, the hosts will suffer another defeat. However, they are more than capable of scoring at least one goal. In their last five matches, Heidelberg failed to score only against Port Melbourne Sharks, but that match was an away game. In the other matches within that period, regardless of the results, the team managed to find the net: a victory over St. Albans Saints (3-0), a draw with Bentleigh Greens (1-1), and defeats against Altona Magic (2-3) and Oakleigh Cannons (1-5).
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Avondale FC are confidently leading the table, securing one victory after another and already distancing themselves from the closest pursuer by five points. However, this Australian league is so high-scoring that even the best teams here rarely keep clean sheets, and on average, they concede about one goal per game. Thus, in the 21st round, Avondale's goal has been breached 19 times. In their last two matches, the team conceded goals: a home thrashing of Dandenong Thunder (5-1) and an away draw against Melbourne Knights (1-1). In away matches this season, Avondale FC concedes exactly one goal per game on average (10 goals in 10 matches).
At a reasonable coefficient, I suggest paying attention to the hosts' goal in this match. Yes, the guests are clear favorites, but they have conceded goals in their last two league rounds. Heidelberg United, on the other hand, has rarely left the field without disappointing their opponents recently. Moreover, in their previous five encounters, they have consistently found the net against the more prestigious Avondale, occasionally even taking points away from them. The teams have already played against each other twice this season. While Heidelberg had no chance in the away match (2-8), they sensationally triumphed at home in May, defeating the league leader (1-0).
Prediction for the match: Heidelberg United to score.
