Hamburger take on the visitors St. Pauli in the round 29 match of German Bundesliga 2. The match will be played on Friday, April 21st at Volksparkstadion (Hamburg).
Before the last round, Hamburg occupied second place and had a real chance to catch up with the championship leader, but lost away to Kaiserslautern (2:0) and once again fell behind Heidenheim. The defeat was absolutely deserved since throughout the match, the "dinosaurs" had only one shot on target against their opponent. Actually, such a story repeats itself every year for Hamburg. The team is terribly unstable, and this factor has been preventing the "black and white blues" from moving up for a long time. The home statistics of Hamburg in the current season are as follows: nine wins, two draws, and three losses with a total goal difference of (30:14). The distinguishing feature of Tim Walter's team is their high efficiency in attack despite not having the best defense. Hamburg is among the most productive teams in the second Bundesliga (54 goals), and their forward Robert Glatzel, with a goal+assist system score of (17-2), is among the top scorers of the championship.
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St. Pauli sensationally lost to Eintracht from Braunschweig (1:2) in their home game in the previous round and thus interrupted their magnificent 12-match unbeaten run. In addition, "the pirates" missed a great chance to reduce the gap to Hamburg to a minimum before the face-to-face meeting. Currently, St. Pauli has the same 47 points and fifth place in the overall team standings. They are six points behind Fabian Hürzeler's third-place team. St. Pauli has won five away games in the current season of the second Bundesliga, played three draws, and lost six times. As for the scored and conceded goals, there is a certain parity (21:21). That is, St. Pauli regularly scores as much as they concede away from home. It is also worth noting that for five consecutive away matches, St. Pauli has won exclusively.
In this match, two attacking teams will meet, with not the strongest defense. This is especially true for Hamburg, but even St. Pauli away is not a standard of reliable defense. Hamburg has a couple of advantages before the reporting match. First: this is the advantage of their home field. Second: they can afford to play against the opponent, as "dinosaurs" have a small lead in the tournament plan. In any case, Hamburg, as always, considering the flaws in defense, will surely rely on their attack. In addition, it is difficult to imagine that with the support of 57,000 spectators, Hamburg will be able to play differently. By the way, only in two home matches of the current season, Hamburg failed to score. For St. Pauli, this is one of the last chances to cling to the top three. In case of defeat from Hamburg, the gap will increase to nine points and it will be difficult to make it up in five rounds before the end of the championship. This means that the team sooner or later will be forced to seek happiness in attack. Given the form in which St. Pauli is in, they are quite capable of getting a positive result or at least scoring a goal against the opponent. The fiasco in the last round should not mislead anyone. According to all statistical indicators, the "pirates" were better in that match. Thus, I see no special obstacles for both teams not to score in this match. This type of bet has successfully played out in three out of five of their last face-to-face meetings. My prediction: both teams will score.
Prediction for the match: Both teams to score – yes.
