Gwangju take on the visitors Daejeon in the round 25 match of South Korean K League 1. The match will be played on Friday, August 4th at Gwangju Football Stadium (Gwangju).
The bookmakers give a slight preference to the home team in this match. However, there is absolutely no certainty that Gwangju FC will come out as the winner in this duel. Their 1-0 victory over Suwon FC in the last round was the first win for the team in their last five league matches. Prior to that, Gwangju had lost to Ulsan (0-1, precisely on their home turf) and played three draws: 1-1 at home with Daegu, 1-1 away against Gangwon, and 0-0 with Jeju United. The team has been losing many points recently, and it is far from guaranteed that they will secure three points in the next match.
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On the other hand, Daejeon Citizen are a strong opponent, trailing the hosts by just one point in the table. They are more than capable of at least securing a draw against Gwangju. Their only defeat in the last five league matches was against Incheon United. In the other four matches, they won against Daegu (1-0) and played draws against Suwon Bluewings (2-2), Jeonbuk Motors (2-2), and Seoul (0-0). It is also worth noting that in their last five away matches in the K-League, Daejeon Citizen suffered only one defeat.
In conclusion, the opponents are roughly equal in strength, as evident from the table, and both have a similar chance of securing a spot in the top six after the regular part of the championship. However, the home team has almost stopped winning recently, while the guests rarely suffer defeats. I would venture to guess that in this match, the players of Daejeon Citizen will, at least, not lose. I'm going with the bet X2, which is supported by the head-to-head statistics: in their last five encounters, Gwangju FC has only triumphed over this opponent once. Moreover, in the current season, the teams played two draws when facing each other.
Prediction for the match: Daejeon not to lose (X2).
