Guingamp hosts Caen in round 35 of French Ligue 1. The match will be played on Saturday, May 4th at Stade du Roudourou (Guingamp)
Guingamp won only 5 of 34 games in this season. Despite the fact that the Red-Blacks need points, there was no glimpse in recent matches. Most recently, the team was completely hammered by Nice, which, with rare exceptions, scores 2 goals per game, not to mention three goals scored to the Guingamp net. Earlier on, the Red-Blacks failed to cope with Strasbourg and got 1 point in a duel with Monaco with great difficulty. In the last 5 games, Guingamp added only 2 points to its piggy bank. Herewith, the team scored only 4 goals and conceded 12.
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Caen desperately fights for survival and succeeds in it all while. In the last 5 games, the team gained 3 victories. For comparison, the club got a such number of victories in the previous 29 championship matches. Caen not only beat its direct competitors but also managed to cope with Nice. The team looked great in a game with Angers, where they obviously deserved a draw. Of course, Caen has problems in the attack and creates few moments per match. But at the same time, the team didn’t fail in defense in the last games. In the last 5 meetings, the team conceded only 3 goals and kept three clean sheets.
Guingamp is a favorite of the meeting, but not so obvious one. Largely, the only factor in favor of the team is the home arena. However, the Red-Blacks won only 3 of 17 home matches in Ligue 1 this season. For comparison, Caen lost only 8 of 17 away games. That is, the away statistics of the latter is even better than the home fixtures of Guingamp. With that, in the last 3 matches, the hosts conceded 3 times more than Caen in the 5 recent games. The visitors have an advantage even in personal meetings. The last Guingamp’s win over Caen happened far in April 2015. Since then, teams have shared points 5 times, and Caen won 2 times. Considering how the visitors successfully restrained the onslaught of Nice and Dijon in the last games, they are able to extend their successful streak against Guingamp.
Prediction for the match: Caen to win with +0.5 handicap
