Guangzhou R&F hosts Chongqing Lifan in round 16 of Chinese Super League. The match will be played on Saturday, July 6th atYuexiushan Stadium (Guangzhou)
Guangzhou R&F ranks ninth in the Chinese Super League standings. This team has 18 points after 15 matches. At the same time, I must say, Guangzhou is very unlucky: according to GD-xGD, they have a -8 fixture. According to xG, the team has the third result in the Chinese Super League - 28.2 (only the leaders have more - Beijing Guoan and Guangzhou Evergrande). The quality of the attack also looks very decent - xG/Sh = 0.13 (the fourth result in the Chinese Super League). As for defense, Guangzhou R&F has certain problems: it has low xGA fixtures so far (xGA = 25.2). The team also allows enough good-quality shots on their goal: xGA/Sh = 0.11- the eighth place in the league. Nevertheless, Guangzhou R&F underperforms in the very defensive line: with 25.2 of xGA, it allowed 34 goals. In general, everything is fair in the attack: with 28.2 of xG, Guangzhou scored 29 times.
| 2 x £10 Free Bet | Review | |||
| 100$-500$ for No Lose Free Bets | Review | |||
| 100% up to £200 | Review | |||
| Not available | Review |
Chongqing Lifan ranks fifth in the Chinese Super League standings. The team has 24 points after 15 matches. It also has its own peculiarity - Chongqing Lifan is so far the luckiest team in the Chinese Super League. Such a conclusion can be made by carefully examining advanced statistics. According to GD-xGD, Chongqing Lifan has 9 (the luckiest in the league). As for xG, the team has only 15.3 (thirteenth place in the league), and it delivers shots that are not very dangerous: their xG/Sh = 0.1 (12th place in the league). There are also some problems in defense: xGA = 24.4 (12th place in the league), and they also allow, as you might guess, quite dangerous shots: xGA/Sh = 0.16 (15th place in the league). Chongqing Lifan overperforms both in the allowed goals and in the scored ones: having 24,4 of xGA, Chongqing Lifan conceded 20 times and could score 20 times either, despite the fact that their xG = 15.3.
I think that you understood everything yourself: Guangzhou R&F is a fairly good-quality team, which should be in the top five, but so far it has not been very lucky when playing defense. Chongqing Lifan has more successful statistics, but in terms of the game quality, this team looks frankly weak and deserves a place at the bottom of the standings. Therefore, it seems to me that the hosts will gain victory in the upcoming game.
Prediction for the match: Guangzhou R&F to win
