Gremio hosts Santos in round 6 of Brazilian Serie A. The match will be played on Friday, June 25th at Arena do Grêmio (Porto Alegre)
The new season of the Brazilian Championship is not going well for Gremio. The team lost three starting matches with a total score of 2-5. On May 30, Gremio lost to Ceara (3-2). In that game, the Immortal Tricolors won back two goals but conceded the decisive one in the 94th minute of the match. Ceara deliberately gave the ball to the opponent (35% of possession) but delivered more shots on goal (6-3). At the same time, Ceara organized only one big chance. Gremio had three clear scoring chances and converted two of them into goals. On June 13, Gremio lost at home to Athlético Paranaense (0-1). In that match, the Immortal Tricolors again controlled the ball (63%) but delivered only one shot on target and created one big chance. For comparison, Athlético shot 4 times on goal and organized two big chances, one of which was converted. Mateus Babi scored in the 45th minute. On June 18, Gremio suffered the third defeat from Sport Recife (1-0). The Immortal Tricolors again possessed the ball more often (66% vs 34%) and delivered more shots on goal (7-4) but did not create a single clear scoring chance.
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Santos played five matches in the current Brazilian Championship (two wins, one draw, and two defeats). The Black-and-Whites have scored and conceded five goals in five games. In the first round, Santos shamefully lost to Bahia away (3-0). Moreover, all three shots on target were productive. Bahia scored those goals in seven minutes. Midfielder Tachiano scored in the 46th and 49th minutes, and defender Juninho set the final score four minutes later. On June 18, Santos lost to Fluminense, and it also happened away (1-0). In that game, the Fish had more possession of the ball (71% vs 29%) and delivered eight shots, but only one of them was counted in the statistics as a clear scoring chance. For comparison, Fluminense shot on goal five times, scored one goal, and created two big chances, one of which resulted in a goal scored.
At the start of the championship, both teams don't show impressive performance in the attack. Gremio has a lot of ball possession, but the Tricolors cannot get many benefits from it. If we look at the first three rounds, they scored two goals in only one match. From June 10 to June 18, Gremio did not score in the Brazilian Cup 1/16 finals (a 0-0 draw against Brasiliense) and suffered two 0-1 defeats from Athletico Paranaense and Sport Recife. Santos have lost 4 of their last five away games and have scored four goals, that is, an average of 0.8 goals per game. Both teams love to possess the ball (more than 60%) but create few dangerous chances. We think that they are unlikely to please the fans with a goal extravaganza.
Prediction for the match: Under 2.5 goals scored
