Greece take on the visitors Gibraltar in the round 6 match of UEFA Euro-2024 qualification. The match will be played on Sunday, September 10th at OPAP Arena (Athens)
The Greeks are unlikely to qualify for the European Championship next year because they have a tough qualifying group, and they are struggling to achieve positive results against the group favorites. They lost 0-1 to the French, and in their first September match, they were defeated by the Netherlands 0-3. Their consolation comes in matches against weaker opponents like Gibraltar. In the upcoming game, a significant victory for Greece can be expected. In their away match, the Greek national team crushed Gibraltar 3-0 in the current qualification campaign, and it's unlikely the score will be any less modest at home. Moreover, Greece have never had any problems with this opponent, having played three times and won three times with a total score of 11-1. Considering all this, a substantial negative handicap on the home team seems like a reasonable option.
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Gibraltar have been stable in this qualification campaign, and their stability consists of losing to everyone 0-3. They have played four matches, and they lost all four by 0-3. It's questionable stability, to say the least. Gibraltar used to have some stability in terms of scoring goals and occasionally picking up points, but now it's just dry defeats. They played a friendly match in preparation for this game, but they couldn't get a win there either, losing 0-1 to Malta. In the upcoming match, it's unlikely that Gibraltar will avoid a defeat by just 0-1, and they might concede even more.
Most likely, Gibraltar's stability will continue, or it might even worsen, with 3-4 goals difference. Greece are likely to win by a considerable margin, especially after their recent disappointment against the Netherlands. Therefore, it's worth considering a handicap bet in favor of Greece. I would suggest looking at the option: Greece with a handicap of -3.
Prediction for the match: Greece to win with -3.0 handicap.