Granada take on the visitors Lugo in the round 40 match of Spanish LaLiga2. The match will be played on Saturday, May 13th at Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes (Granada).
Granada, after 39 rounds, share the 3rd and 4th position in the Segunda Division standings with Alaves, both teams having accumulated 66 points. They are only one point behind the leading duo of Eibar and Las Palmas. Behind Granada, Levante and Albacete trail by one and four points respectively. In the last two matches, Granada played away against direct competitors in the race for promotion to the Spanish top flight. In both cases, they managed not to lose, which is undoubtedly a success considering their unremarkable away performances. First, under the guidance of Paco Lopez, they drew with Eibar (1-1), and then they held Alaves to a draw (1-1). The match against Alaves was particularly exciting, with both teams receiving red cards and Alaves missing a penalty. At their home stadium, Nuevo Los Carmenes, Granada continues to demonstrate fantastic play. In 19 home matches, they have achieved an impressive fifteen (!) victories and four draws. During this period, Lopez's team scored 35 goals and conceded just six (!).
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Lugo have already confirmed their relegation to the third division of Spanish football. Currently, they sit at the bottom of the Segunda Division table with 28 points. The form of Inigo Velez's team leaves much to be desired. Since the beginning of 2023, Lugo hasn't registered a single victory. Their winless streak spans 18 (!) matches, consisting of 11 defeats and 7 draws. In the previous round, Lugo managed to secure a draw against Andorra (2-2) at home, thus ending a three-match losing streak. In away matches, Lugo holds the worst record in the second division. Out of 19 matches, they have won only two, drawn three, and lost fourteen. They have scored 13 goals and conceded 36.
In this encounter, one of the league leaders and the best home team face the main underachiever and the worst away team. The outcome seems clear. If Granada seriously intends to spend the next season in La Liga, they cannot afford to drop points against such an opponent. I believe they won't. Considering Granada's strong attacking line (48 goals) and Lugo's second-to-last defense in terms of goals conceded (53 goals), there is a chance we will witness a demolition by the home team. At the very least, Granada is capable of scoring a minimum of two goals. My prediction: Granada to win with over 1.5 total goals.
Prediction for the match: Granada to win and Granada to score over 1.5 goals.
