Gibraltar take on the visitors Greece in the round 1 match of UEFA Euro 2024 qualification. The match will be played on Friday, February 24th at Estádio Algarve (Faro/Loulé).
Gibraltar are one of the footballing minnows that has emerged relatively recently on the world football map. They have made progress in the years since their formation, which is closely linked to their Spanish roots. If they used to be the whipping boys, like San Marino still are, now Chipolina and company are winning at their level in the Nations League and scoring against the most notorious outsiders, and they try not to lose by a large margin. But of course, they have no chance against the Greeks. The red and whites will play defensively until the end, but sooner or later they will concede. By the way, the team is currently on a streak of 2 consecutive victories, but it is unlikely that beating Andorra 1-0 and Liechtenstein 2-0 can be considered significant achievements.
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The Greeks have already made a strong bid to qualify for Germany and Euro 2024, winning their Nations League group in Division C against Northern Ireland, Cyprus, and Kosovo. The team is being rebuilt under a Dutch coach who is increasingly getting the Greeks to move away from the pragmatic defensive football instilled by Otto Rehhagel and rooted under Fernando Santos and Claudio Ranieri. They lost 1-2 to Hungary away before playing Gibraltar, but that was against Hungary, whereas this is a very calm opponent.
Gibraltar will defend themselves as long as they have the strength. On their artificial turf, they will run, but mostly without thinking and just defending, while the Greeks are still superior in class and individual skill. It is hard to believe they will score more than 4 or 5 goals, so we have the perfect situation here for the favorite to win by a low score, which they must break the resistance of such an underdog sooner or later.
Prediction for the match: Greece to win and under 4.5 scored goals.
