Getafe take on the visitors Celta Vigo in the round 33 match of Spanish LaLiga. The match will be played on Wednesday, April 3rd at Coliseum Alfonso Perez (Getafe).
Getafe are currently in second to last place in the table and is in the relegation zone. It doesn't make sense for the team to just defend, they need a win like air if coach Jose Bordalas' team wants to stay in La Liga for at least one more season. Yes, in the last five league games they were only able to get one point, but the Over 1.5 goals bet was more often successful in those matches than not. This happened three times - 0-2 loss to Real Sociedad, 1-3 loss to Mallorca, and 1-2 loss to Almeria.
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Celta are comfortably closer to the middle of the table and eight points separate them from the relegation zone. Like their opponent, Celta players played Over 1.5 goals in three out of the last five championship matches: a draw with Sevilla (2-2), losses to Villarreal (1-3) and the current champions of the country (0-2). In the previous seven rounds of La Liga, Celta was only able to keep their goal untouched once. I think they will concede at least 1-2 goals in the upcoming match. They can also score.
I continue to advocate that bookmakers often overestimate the odds for Over 1.5 goals in matches involving not the strongest Spanish teams. In most cases, I am right. I think this match will be one of those cases. I believe that even one of the teams alone is capable of breaking this total, and I do not exclude an exchange of accurate shots. The defenses of both teams leave much to be desired: in 32 rounds, the hosts conceded 42 goals, the guests - 45. Getafe players need only a win, which means they will open up, which the visitors from Vigo can take advantage of. In the 32 matches of the championship involving Celta, the Over 1.5 goals bet played 21 times, and involving "the city team" - 20 times. In the last three head-to-head matches of the opponents, this total was consistently passed: 0-3, 2-0, 1-1. I expect at least two accurate shots in this match.
Prediction for the match: Over 1.5 scored goals.
