Germany take on the visitors Japan in an international friendly match. The match will be played on Saturday, September 9th.
Germany are currently in a very poor state. They have had a series of failures in recent top tournaments, and now, they don't need to qualify for the upcoming Euros. They are constantly playing friendly matches but are consistently underperforming. While it's understandable that a new national team is in the process of being formed, and friendly matches can see some ups and downs, there's no guarantee that they won't fail in the upcoming home Euro, which is less than a year away. As for the upcoming match, the trend suggests that relying on a German victory here might not be the best idea. They defeated Peru 2-0 in March but then faced a series of losses: 2-3 against Belgium, 0-1 against Poland, 0-2 against Colombia, and a 3-3 draw with Ukraine. Strong Japanese opponents could easily aim for a positive result here.
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Japan performed decently in the December World Cup, reaching the Round of 16, where they were narrowly defeated by Croatia. This year, they've played only friendly matches, totaling 4: a 1-1 draw with Uruguay, a 1-2 loss to Colombia, a 6-0 win over El Salvador, and a 4-1 victory against Peru. These are very respectable results. Japan also has a recent victory against Germany to remember. In the last World Cup, Japan defeated Germany 2-1 in the group stage, preventing them from advancing to the knockout rounds. Currently, Germany are in a state of disarray, and the Japanese team could aim for another success against a top opponent.
Germany cannot be considered a significant favorite in this match, and I believe that the chances of success in this meeting are roughly equal for both teams. Therefore, it's worth considering a positive handicap, which should work well. I would recommend a bet on Japan with a +1.5 goal handicap. Germany are currently unlikely to defeat a strong opponent by more than one goal.
Prediction for the match: Japan to win with -1.5 handicap.