Georgia take on the visitors Cyprus in the round 8 match of group stage of UEFA Euro-2024 qualification. The match will be played on Sunday, October 15th at Mikheil Meskhi Stadium (Tbilisi).
The Georgians missed the previous round of the qualifying cycle. To be precise, they didn't have official matches; the national team played a friendly match, where they comfortably defeated athletes from Thailand (8-0). When it comes to earning a place in a major tournament, Georgia certainly won't be competing. No matter how you look at it, even with Khvicha, they don't measure up to the level of the Spaniards, Norwegians, and Scots. However, they should have no problem defeating the modest Cypriots on their home turf, with a minimum two-goal difference. The opponents are just too weak at the moment.
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The Cypriots are the underdogs in their group. These teams are often referred to as points providers for all their opponents. Unfortunately, even on their home ground, the islanders are unable to compete with the Georgians, as demonstrated in the first match. Moreover, it's highly unlikely that they can secure any points away from home. After six rounds of the Euro 2024 qualifying cycle, Cyprus has an empty account, with zero points. Six matches, six defeats. In addition to losing to the Crusaders, they also had setbacks in matches against Spain (0-6), Scotland (0-3 and 0-3), and Norway (1-3 and 0-4). As you can see, this team is not accustomed to losing by more than one goal.
In this match, the hosts are the clear favorites, and there are no doubts about their victory. I lean towards Georgia winning convincingly both in terms of gameplay and the scoreline. They should secure a win with a minimum two-goal difference. The Cypriots did show some resistance to their opponent at home, even though they lost (1-2). But replicating such a result away will be very challenging. I wouldn't rule out a significant victory for the hosts either. Essentially, you could even try to catch a handicap (-1.5) with odds over two. However, I'll err on the side of caution. My choice is a handicap (-1) in favor of the hosts.
Prediction for the match: Georgia to win with -1.0 handicap.
