Georgia U21 take on the visitors Gibraltar U21 in the round 1 match of UEFA Euro U21 qualification. The match will be played on Wednesday, September 6th at Stadion Ramaz Shengelia (Kutaisi).
Georgia performed very well in the recent UEFA European Under-21 Championship, which took place this summer. They advanced from the group stage and only lost to Israel in the quarter-finals via a penalty shootout. Now, the Caucasus team is starting their qualification campaign for EURO 2025. The group is challenging, featuring the Netherlands and Sweden, making the battle for the top two spots quite tough. However, we are now discussing the first-round match, where Georgia will face Gibraltar, the underdog in this group. At the youth level, these teams haven't met before, but it's natural to assume that the hosts will secure a victory. The question remains about how many goals will be scored. It's reasonable to speculate that the hosts are capable of scoring at least half a dozen goals. In the previous Georgian youth team campaign, they met Liechtenstein in the qualifiers, winning 4-0 at home and 2-0 away. Gibraltar are arguably an even weaker team than Liechtenstein.
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For Gibraltar, this will already be their third qualifying match, and it's easy to guess that they suffered defeats in their previous two matches. They were thrashed 0-5 by the Swedes, and the modest Moldovans also managed to find the net against Gibraltar, winning 3-1. A single goal in two matches is still some level of success. As for the upcoming match, there is clearly nothing new to expect from Gibraltar. They will likely try to keep the match goalless initially, hoping for a 0-0 draw. Then, when they concede, they will aim not to concede too many. In the end, as usual, Gibraltar will likely concede around five goals.
The winner here is clear, and bookmakers are not even offering odds on a straightforward victory for Georgia. Even if you take a handicap (-2.5) on the hosts, the odds are still not particularly attractive. Therefore, it might be worth considering a bet on the total goals in this match. I believe that Georgia will score at least four goals in this match, and who knows, Gibraltar might manage to score as well. So, my choice would be to bet on Over 3.5 goals in the game.
Prediction for the match: Over 3.5 scored goals.
