Genoa take on the visitors Salernitana in the round 10 match of Italian Serie A. The match will be played on Friday, October 27th at Stadio Luigi Ferraris (Genoa).
Genoa's return to the elite of Italian football has been quite decent. They are far from being an easy team to beat. In essence, they only lose to teams they are expected to lose to (Milan, Atalanta, Fiorentina), as well as Torino and Lecce. However, they lost to both Torino and Lecce with minimal scores of 0-1 in away matches. The Griffins sometimes even outperform opponents of a much higher level. For example, at the beginning of the season, Genoa already defeated two teams from the capital: Roma (4-1 at home) and Lazio (1-0 away). They also managed to take points from the reigning champion, Napoli (2-2), and had an away draw with Udinese (2-2). Salernitana are quite comparable in terms of strength to the hosts and is the weakest of the opponents Genoa have faced this season. Given these circumstances, the Griffins should aim for at least a draw in their upcoming home match.
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With just four points after nine rounds, Salernitana are positioned near the bottom of the table, second from last. They have yet to secure a victory in Serie A, and they have only managed to draw in four of their matches. Among these draws, the one against Roma (2-2) is perhaps the only result Salernitana can be proud of. The other teams they drew with could have been potential victories: Udinese (1-1), Frosinone (1-1), and Cagliari (2-2). From the five teams that defeated Salernitana, only Inter (0-4) can be considered a top-tier side. In addition to Inter, they suffered losses to Monza (0-3), Torino (0-3), Lecce (0-2), and even Empoli (0-1).
Both teams have lost five times in Serie A this season. However, Genoa have only been defeated at home by the strong sides like Milan and high-flying Fiorentina. Salernitana, on the other hand, not only lacks away victories but has yet to win a game in the current season. Therefore, I have strong doubts about the success of the visitors, and I'm placing a 1X bet. I might also pair it with Over 1.5 goals, which has been achieved in five out of nine Serie A matches involving Genoa and in eight out of nine matches involving Salernitana. Genoa are more than capable of putting on an attacking display against an opponent like Salernitana, and they might reach the total goals mark on their own.
Prediction for the match: Genoa not to lose (1X) and Over 1.5 scored goals.
