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Genoa vs Milan Prediction 7 October 2023

Genoa vs Milan Prediction 7 October 2023

Genoa take on the visitors Milan in the round 8 match of Italian Serie A. The match will be played on Saturday, October 7th at Stadio Luigi Ferraris (Genoa).

After returning to Serie A, Genoa looks quite decent for their level, that's a fact. Two wins, two draws, three losses, and as a result, they sit in 13th place in the current table. A notable highlight for Genoa are their home 2-2 draw against Napoli, who seemed to have a slow start to the season. However, it's unlikely they'll achieve a similar result against Milan. The Rossoneri are heading to Genoa in excellent form. As for the upcoming match, the hosts are far from invulnerable and have already suffered three losses in the championship: to Torino (0-1), Lecce (0-1), and, most recently, a 1-4 defeat to Fiorentina at home.

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Milan are currently in second place in the Serie A table, trailing their arch-rivals Inter on additional criteria when points are level. This is because Milan was defeated in the derby. However, that's their only setback at the start of the championship. In the other six rounds, Milan have secured six victories: against Bologna (2-0), Torino (4-1), Roma (2-1), Verona (1-0), Cagliari (3-1), and Lazio (2-0). In the UEFA Champions League, under the guidance of Stefano Pioli, Milan have yet to secure any victories in the group stage (two goalless draws). They need to compensate for the positive emotions of their fans with wins, at least in Serie A. I believe Milan will handle this in the upcoming round.

It seems that Genoa's not-so-weak performance in Serie A, coupled with the injuries to Krunić and Loftus-Cheek in the visitors' squad, along with Milan's midweek match in the Champions League, have significantly influenced the bookmakers' odds in this match. Because, in my opinion, offering nearly 2.00 odds for a victory of the red and black here is an overestimate. Even considering the factors mentioned above, Milan must prevail against an opponent of this caliber purely based on their class. Perhaps it won't be an easy walk for the favorites in Genoa. However, Milan's leaders, Leao (3 goals and 3 assists) and Giroud (4 goals and 3 assists), are capable of producing results even in a subpar performance. I'll try to capitalize on the bookmakers' mistake here.

Prediction for the match: Milan to win.

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Dylan McLaughlin
Football tipster