G.D. Chaves welcome the visitors FC Porto in the Portuguese Primeira Liga – Round 18. The match will be held on Friday, January 18th, at the Estadio Municipal de Chaves (Chaves).
G.D. Chaves are among the weakest teams in this Primeira. They find themselves in the relegation zone, sitting second-last, running ahead of Aves just by additional parameters under the equal number of points. In our view, the team will not present any problem for FC Porto even on their turf. In 17 clashes, Chaves lost 11 times, conceding in a half of home encounters. Indeed, the hosts conceded only twice by a margin of over 1 goal in this campaign (1 loss was to Porto); therefore, the odds on the guests’ win with a -1.5 handicap are that high; but there is a gulf in class between the opponents, so we are ready to take risks.
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The visitors are league leaders and clear favorites of the coming head-to-head. Their draw against Sporting in the last round has worsened their position a bit. The closest pursuer Benfica are only 5 points behind now, so, Porto have no right for a slipup in the clash versus the outsider even in the outing. We are very sure of their outclassing win, yet quite an easy one, tomorrow. In 17 rounds, Porto celebrated 14 victories. Half of them were by a margin of 2 goals as a minimum. The club are also doing great in trips – they registered 6 wins in 8 encounters. As to us, the visitors are capable of beating the outsider out by a margin of over 1 goal.
Apart from the class difference between the opponents, which is obvious, the head-to-heads’ record also favors Porto. In 4 of 5 latest meetings, Chaves suffered defeats; that said, in all 4 clashes, the bet on the favorites’ win with a -1.5 handicap paid off well. The home match factor does not help the underdogs much. Their 2 latest home matches against Porto saw their 0-4 and 0-2 loss. Thus, our prediction is the guests’ win with a -1.5 handicap.
Prediction for the match: FC Porto to win with a -1.5 handicap.
