Fulham hosts Wigan in round 9 of English Championship. The match will be played on Friday, September 27th at Craven Cottage (London)
A tough couple of weeks for Fulham could end in this meeting with the Latics. After losing to Nottingham, the Cottagers managed not to lose to Cardiff away, but they remained ten in Wales (1:1), so they played without defender Arter in a home meeting against West Bromwich (1:1). In the last round, Fulham again played away, in Sheffield, and did not lose to the Owls (a 1:1 draw again). Are Londoners able to return victories to their field? Of course, Parker has no coaching experience, but Scott is not as bad as the critics describe him. Now the coach can use winger Kebano, and the debut of the ex-pivot of Werder, Petsos, is also expected. The attack of the Cottagers with Cairney, Cavaleiro, Knockaert, and Mitrovic is one of the strongest in the league. The only thing that may bother the coach is that Wigan can score on the road, and Fulham conceded in its last home games and 4 head-to-head matches with the Latics at Craven Cottage since 2012.
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Wigan’s victory over Charlton is fine, but it's the league’s newcomers, and Fulham only aims to come back in the Premier League. In the end, the Latics away are a completely different beast, not as tenacious and unyielding as in their home arena. So far, Wigan has earned only 1 point in 4 away matches and is the worst away team with 9 goals conceded. In the last season, Wigan also lagged in the statistics of away performances, having earned only 21% of the total points. This problem is stable: the trend continues in 24 out of 25 last visits. Wigan lost 16 away matches in the last season, including against 6 teams from the top 7. Besides, the fans saw more than 3 goals in 9 of the last 11 Wigan’s away matches.
Given the actual difference between the class of the teams, as well as the statistics of performances at home and away, Fulham's victory looks more likely. Obertan, Mandron, Bruce, Byrne, and Laurent - all these are contenders for debuts in Wigan, but Cook continues to search for an optimal squad, and it does not guarantee success in London. I predict the victory of the hosts in the match with at least two goals scored.
Prediction for the match: Fulham to win and Over 1.5 goals scored