Fluminense take on the visitors Juventude in the round 28 match of Brazilian Serie A. The match will be played on Wednesday, September 29th at Maracanã (Rio de Janeiro).
Fluminense will not take the title, but will fight for 2nd place until the last. The "Tricolor Rios" were at their peak in the late 1st and early 2nd decade of this century. These are the league titles of 2010 and 2012, and the only Brazilian Cup in history, and reaching the final of both the Copa Libertadores and the Copa Sudamericana. But in recent years, it has often not been possible to even climb to the top of the standings. And only last season there was some progress - reaching the 7th place. The main thing is that it turned out to develop success in 2022. Yes, in the cup there was a relegation from Corinthians, but 2 wins in the league in a row allowed them to gain a foothold in the 3rd position in Serie A.
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Juventude couldn't learn from last year's mistakes. The Parrots were close to relegation in 2021, immediately after another rise from Serie B. Then they managed to gain 40 points in 38 matches, 2 more than Gremio and Bahia who were relegated in the end. However, this appears to have been only a reprieve. Now no one has such miserable statistics as this team. For all the fights held, 27 rounds, there were only 3 wins, and only 1 after June 5th. Moreover, in August-September it was possible to take only 3 points, due to draws. It is already obvious that the chances are only mathematical: the gap from the saving 16th place has reached 9 points. This is almost half of what the outsider managed to scrape together during all these months in Brasileirao. But, by the way, out of 5 recent matches, only 2 were lost on the road - at home Juventude got draw.
Fluminense has only 1 win in 6 last head-to-head matches. Yes, Juventude did not manage to achieve even longer, but it was the “parrots” that unexpectedly won both last meetings. It is clear that Juventude is not the opponent with whom you can lose points, especially the grandee in their field. We expect Fluminense to win the 1st half and the match as a whole.
Prediction for the match: Fluminense to win with 1st half and the match.
