Fiorentina take on the visitors Sampdoria in the round 32 match of Italian Serie A. The match will be played on Sunday, April 30th at Stadio Artemio Franchi (Florence).
Fiorentina have picked up their game too late, as they are no longer in contention for high positions in the championship. Now, the "violets" are focused on the national cup, where they have already reached the final, and the Europa League, where they have made it to the semifinals. I believe that coach Vincenzo Italiano will focus his main efforts on those tournaments. It's unlikely that Fiorentina's players will try to score many goals at any cost in the remaining Serie A matches. What's the point? But they also won't throw away championship matches, especially at home, and even more so against weak opponents like Sampdoria. In the last five matches involving Italiano's team, over 3.5 total goals were scored only once.
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Sampdoria are the most helpless attacking team in Serie A. In the 31st round, the "sailors" scored only 20 goals, slightly more than 0.5 per game on average. And largely due to their lack of scoring ability, the team settled at the bottom of the championship table, practically losing even theoretical chances to stay in the top tier of Italian football. In the last four matches, Sampdoria only had over 3.5 total goals scored once, when they scored five goals against Cremonese in a battle of outsiders. In the other matches, they suffered a dry defeat in Rome against Roma (0-3) and two modest draws against Spezia and Lecce (1-1).
Let's take a closer look at Fiorentina's recent Serie A matches. In the last five matches, only against Monza did they manage to have a shootout, scoring more than three accurate shots on goal. In the other four matches, the "violets" played under 3.5 total goals: victories over Inter (1-0) and Lecce (1-0), as well as draws with the same score of 1-1 against Spezia and Atalanta. A few days before the match against Sampdoria, Vincenzo Italiano's team played a goalless draw against Cremonese in the national cup. In January, they narrowly beat Sampdoria (1-0) in the same tournament. They also won against the "sailors" with a score of only 2-0 in the first round of the championship. My prediction for the upcoming match between these teams is under 3.5 total goals.
Prediction for the match: Under 3.5 scored goals.
