Finland take on the visitors Slovenia in the round 3 match of EUFA Euro qualifications. The match will be played on Friday, June 16th at Helsinki Olympic Stadium (Helsinki).
In Group H of the Euro 2024 qualifiers, there is a clear contender for the top spot - Denmark. The other four national teams (excluding San Marino) will most likely be competing for the second place. In this match, two teams will face each other, direct competitors for that second place. After two rounds of the qualifying campaign, Finland has accumulated only 3 points out of a possible six. They started with a defeat against Denmark (1-3) and then secured a crucial victory away against Northern Ireland (1-0). However, I strongly doubt that the Finns will be able to defeat the noticeably improving Slovenians.
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Slovenia are currently leading their group. It may not last long, but they are capable of at least securing a draw in Finland. In addition to a victory over the weak San Marino team (2-0, a match that is not even considered since the opponent loses to everyone), the Slovenians have also overcome one of the direct competitors for the second spot in the Euros. They managed to defeat Kazakhstan (2-1) away, a team that is capable of putting up a fight at home against anyone. In the last UEFA Nations League, Slovenia finished third in their quartet, but they showed themselves to be worthy opponents. They suffered only two defeats in six matches, losing only once in three away games. They faced strong teams like Norway, Sweden, and Serbia, which are certainly no weaker than Finland.
Slovenia enters this match with a four-game winning streak. In addition to victories over Kazakhstan and San Marino, they defeated Montenegro (1-0) and Romania (2-1). Prior to that, they were unbeaten in four UEFA Nations League matches (three draws and one win). They faced Norway twice and Serbia and Sweden once each. Thus, Slovenia has been undefeated in eight consecutive matches. I believe they are capable of securing at least a draw in the upcoming match. Finland hasn't been impressive lately, with only one victory in their last six matches and just two wins in their last ten. I strongly doubt that even the home-field advantage will help the Finns overcome their opponent, who is in good form. The betting option is X2.
Prediction for the match: Slovenia not to lose (X2).
