FC Porto hosts AC Milan in round 3 of the Champions League group stage. The match will be played on Tuesday, October 19th at Estádio do Dragão (Porto)
After two rounds of the Champions League group stage, FC Porto has only one point in its assets. It was earned in the away match against Atletico Madrid (0-0). In the second game, Conceisão's charges lost to Liverpool at home with a score of 1-5. At the moment, the Dragons are in the third line in the group standings. Interesting fact: four previous performances of the Portuguese in the Champions League group round ended with promotion to the playoffs. But this season, according to quotes, FC Porto should be in 4th position. Promotion to the 1/8 finals of the main European tournament is estimated with a coefficient of 6.5. The Dragons are not particularly successful in the matches against Italian clubs. 18 games ended with only four victories, four draws, and ten defeats.
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AC Milan returned to the Champions League group stage after a long time. However, the Rossoneri are not doing well in this tournament so far. They suffered two defeats in two starting rounds, scoring three goals and conceding five times. A streak without victories in the Champions League has already amounted to four games. If we are talking about the indicators in away matches, everything is very bad: only one victory in the last seven games (with two draws and four defeats). AC Milan has positive statistics of matches against Portuguese clubs in the Champions League — five victories, four draws, and only one defeat.
Bookmakers have set equal coefficients for these teams. I totally agree that there is neither a favorite nor an outsider in the upcoming game. Milan is historically stronger, but it seems to me that the Italians are in no way superior to the Dragons at the moment. Pioli's only trump card is Ibrahimovic. FC Porto and AC Milan will fight for the 3rd line. Both teams will take the field to win. But I would still risk betting on W1 with a zero handicap.
Prediction for the match: FC Porto to win with 0.0 handicap