Everton hosts Crystal Palace in round 30 of the English Premier League. The match will be played on Monday, April 5th at Goodison Park (Liverpool)
Everton performed enchantingly only at the start of the season, as then Ancelotti's team scored a lot. But gradually the Toffees began to slow down, and now they can hardly score goals. After a spectacular and long-awaited victory at Anfield, they managed to score only three goals in five subsequent matches. Obviously, it is a weak indicator for the team that fights for the Champions League. I doubt that a short pause will help Everton. Most likely, the Toffees will continue to play low-scoring football.
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If Everton had a series of spectacular games at least at the start of the season, then Crystal Palace showed scoring football only sporadically. Usually, the Glaziers are stingy with goals and stage an extravaganza extremely rarely. In the last four matches, they managed to score only two goals, and the victorious goal against WBA was scored from the penalty spot. In the Premier League, there are quite a few teams whose performance is worse than that of the Eagles, but they are less fortunate, as evidenced by advanced statistics. In terms of xG, Crystal Palace is in the penultimate place. Moreover, the expected goals of the Eagles are five less than the actual ones. That is, they were repeatedly lucky.
I believe that Everton will be able to earn at least one point. First, the Eagles are a convenient opponent for the Toffees. Crystal Palace has not managed to defeat Everton for 12 games in a row. Secondly, the Glaziers are playing pretty badly against teams from the top 10 of the Premier League standings. The only victory was gained only over Manchester United, and even then at the start of the season. Thirdly, the current shape is still somewhat better for Everton. Yes, the Toffees suffered several defeats, but they lost twice to Manchester City and Chelsea. Crystal Palace, in turn, gained only two victories in the last seven matches, and they were won with difficulty. For example, the Eagles managed to cope with West Bromwich due to a penalty kick. As for the away match versus Brighton, the Eagles were extremely lucky (they possessed the ball only 25% of the time and delivered only three shots on goal). With such a game, Londoners are unlikely to get three points in Liverpool. Therefore, I will assume that Everton will at least not lose to Crystal Palace, and there will be no more than three goals in the upcoming match.
Prediction for the match: Everton to win with +0.5 handicap and Under 3.5 goals scored
