Espanyol take on the visitors Almeria in the round 38 match of Spanish LaLiga. The match will be played on Sunday, June 4th at RCDE Stadium (Cornella de Llobregat).
Espanyol have already confirmed their relegation to the Segunda Division ahead of the final matchday. In the previous round, the "Parakeets" drew 2-2 with Valencia, conceding the second goal in the 93rd minute. This result was fatal for Luis Garcia's team, as they needed to win to have any chance of survival. It's worth noting that Espanyol fought until the end, although they had tough opponents in the final stretch of the season. In early May, the "White and Blues" lost in a close match against Sevilla (2-3) away, then suffered a defeat in the Barcelona derby (2-4), but followed it with a determined victory over Rayo Vallecano (2-1) and a thrilling draw against Atletico Madrid (3-3). In the match against Simeone's team, Espanyol made a remarkable comeback, trailing by three goals at one point. At home, Espanyol has only managed to secure four wins this season, with six draws and eight losses, scoring 24 goals and conceding 32.
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Almeria still face the possibility of relegation, following Elche and Espanyol, who have already been officially demoted. Currently, the "Red and Whites" have 40 points and occupy the 16th position in the standings. Celta Vigo has the same number of points, but Almeria holds an advantage in head-to-head matches. Valladolid is just one point behind. In this round, Celta Vigo will host a demotivated Barcelona at their home stadium, while Valladolid will face Getafe at home. Almeria could have practically secured their safety if they had defeated Valladolid at their own stadium in the previous round. However, despite dominating the game, Rubi's team failed to break through the opponent's defense and ended up with a goalless draw. Before that, Almeria suffered a defeat against Real Sociedad (0-1), won convincingly against Mallorca (3-0), and once again lost to Osasuna (1-3). Almeria's away performances in La Liga have been disappointing. Out of eighteen matches played away from home, they have only achieved one victory, with four draws and thirteen (!) losses. Additionally, Almeria has conceded the most goals on the road this season (40), while scoring only 17.
In the upcoming match, Espanyol will play for their honor, prestige, and will try to reward their loyal fans for their support. In recent matches, Espanyol has shown some promise, and with the right mindset, they are capable of delivering a good performance. Moreover, the burden of responsibility for the result has been lifted off Luis Garcia's players, which could ultimately free up the team. Almeria, unlike their opponent, is highly motivated. If Celta Vigo and Valladolid win their matches and Almeria doesn't, they are likely to bid farewell to La Liga. However, motivation alone is sometimes insufficient to achieve the desired result. Considering Almeria's away record, it's unlikely they will secure all three points in Catalonia. I believe in at least a draw for the hosts and expect them to score a minimum of two goals. For Espanyol, scoring two goals should be the minimum target in their crucial matches, as Almeria concedes an average of the same number of goals away from home. Overall, I anticipate a fairly high-scoring match. My prediction: 1X + Over 1.5 goals.
Prediction for the match: Espanyol not to lose and Over 1.5 scored goals.
