Erzgebirge Aue hosts St.Pauli in round 14 of German Bundesliga 2. The match will be played on Friday, November 22nd at Sparkassen-Erzgebirgsstadion (Aue)
Everything is very simple here: over the past 7 years, Erzgebirge Aue lost to St. Pauli only once. And the hosts completed the last 4 head-to-head meetings in Aue with victories with a goal total difference of 9/2.
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It’s not enough that St. Pauli has not beaten Erzgebirge Aue at its stadium for a long time, but it doesn’t know victories for the last five matches. Moreover, St. Pauli has not won a single away game this season.
Over the past five home games, Erzgebirge Aue scored an average of 2.5 goals, while St. Pauli conceded one and scored 0.5 goals in five away matches. With such statistics of scored/ conceded goals and the current shape, I do not understand why bookmakers give such a high coefficient for a double chance of Erzgebirge. I think it’s worth betting on such an outcome. The hosts know how to give anybody a run for their money in their arena, and they will probably at least not lose.
Prediction for the match: Erzgebirge Aue to win with +0.5 handicap
