Elche hosts Girona in the first leg of the Spanish LaLiga2 promotion playoffs final. The match will be played on Thursday, July 20th at Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero (Elche)
As a matter of logic, the first match of the two-part confrontation for getting into LaLiga simply cannot be open and scoring. There is a lot at stake because getting into the elite division promises big dividends. First of all, the team that promotes improves its financial situation (advertising, rich sponsors, sale of rights to TV broadcasts, etc.). Therefore, the participants in this match will surely be tuned up for grandmaster football, fearing to make a fatal mistake. Even one may be enough, given the equal class of Elche and Girona. And if you watched the semifinal matches of Elche, it was perfectly noticeable how the knees of the players were trembling with anxiety. Elche and Zaragoza scored only one goal in 180+ minutes of the game (1:0 and 0:0). If we carry out a further statistical investigation, we will see that the Valencians did not rush things in the last home matches of the regular part of the Segunda. In particular, five out of six matches ended with Under 2.5 goals scored. Such an outcome was recorded in games with Albacete (2:0), La Coruña (0:1), Cadiz (0:0), Extremadura (1:1), and Numancia (2:0).
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As for Girona, it was and remained one of the most defensive units in Segunda. And it was in a strategic manner that the Catalans made it to the playoffs, for example, having played with “Under 2.5 goals scored” 16 times in 19 last matches! Nine of them even ended with Under 1.5 goals scored. Yes, the Red-Whites and Almeria played with a 2:1 score in the second semifinal game, but the Almerians had to win back after the first leg that ended with a 0:1 score, so the teams began to play open football.
I don’t know what should happen in the upcoming match so that its participants immediately lay their cards on the table and rush at each other with an open visor. It is unlikely that Elche and Girona went through all the hell of the regular part and the semifinals to start taking risks in the finals right away. Finally, I will recall that both head-to-head meetings of the Red-Whites and the White-Greens under the banner of this season ended with Under 2.5 goals scored (1:0 and 2:0).
Prediction for the match: Under 2.5 goals scored