Elche take on the visitors Atletico Madrid in the round 34 match of Spanish LaLiga. The match will be played on Sunday, May 14th at Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero (Elche).
Elche have long come to terms with their fate and resigned themselves well before their official relegation from La Liga. Now they have no chance of salvation, not even theoretically, and at the very least, the team will spend the next season in Segunda. The Green-Striped team has completely failed in the championship and is struggling at the bottom of the table. They are even 11 points behind the second-to-last position. In their last five matches, Elche surprised once by thrashing Rayo Vallecano at home. But in the other four matches, everything happened predictably with defeats to Girona (0-2), Valencia (0-2), Almeria (1-2), and Celta Vigo (0-1). Twice during this period, the team lost by a margin of more than one goal. I believe that in the match against Atletico, Sebastian Baez's protégés should expect nothing less than a heavy defeat, and perhaps even a heavier one.
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Atletico, nearing the end of the season, have gained tremendous momentum and are in excellent form. In four out of their last five matches, Atletico emerged victorious and have already surpassed their Madrid neighbors, Real Madrid, in the table. In their three previous La Liga matches, Simeone's men haven't dropped any points, winning with a margin of two or more goals: 5-1 against Cadiz, 5-2 against Valladolid, and 3-1 against Mallorca. In the last ten rounds, Atletico has secured 9 victories, five of which came with a handicap of at least two goals. I believe such a powerful team won't encounter any problems in the match against the worst team in the league, even if it's an away game.
Hardly anyone will argue that the guests are the clear favorites in this match. The odds for an away win are too low, so I'll take the handicap (-1) in favor of Atletico. Elche has suffered 23 defeats in 33 rounds, and in 12 of them, they lost by a margin of more than one goal. Atletico is currently on a roll, scoring 13 goals in just three recent league matches. In their last ten matches in La Liga, they only failed to win against Barcelona. The head-to-head statistics with Elche also favor Atletico, as the favorites have won all five previous encounters. In the calendar year 2022, they were stronger than their opponents twice with the same scoreline of 2-0, both at home and away. I believe that even now, the away factor will not hinder Simeone's team from comfortably securing three points.
Prediction for the match: Atletico Madrid to win with -1.0 handicap.
