Eintracht Frankfurt take on the visitors Levski Sofia in the second leg of UEFA Conference League qualification finals. First time result: 1-1. The match will be played on Thursday, August 31st at Deutsche Bank Park (Frankfurt).
Bookmakers are offering an extremely low coefficient on the German club, which is understandable given the significant difference in the teams' levels. However, just a week ago, this class difference wasn't noticeable. Could it be that the strong German mid-tier team was unsettled by the status of an away match, and they couldn't perform to their fullest in Bulgaria? I don't think so. A 1-1 score can be deceiving – it might seem like one team kept trying and eventually scored, while the other team managed to equalize with just one attempt on goal. But the reality was quite different. The statistics were completely even, and the Bulgarians had more possession. Eintracht Frankfurt are having difficulties with effectiveness at the start of the season, as they only scored one goal per match in the first two rounds of the championship. The match in Bulgaria was similarly modest in terms of scoring.
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Levski is looking quite promising in the current qualification campaign. They have already progressed through two rounds, defeating Macedonian Shkupi and Israeli Hapoel. It's worth noting that in the four qualification matches leading up to the encounter with the Germans, the Sofia-based team conceded only one goal. Clearly, the Bulgarians are currently paying close attention to their defense, and it's paying off. In the upcoming match, it might not be wise to write off the Bulgarian representative too quickly. Yes, the opponent is formidable, but just a week ago, this opponent couldn't really demonstrate much. There's a chance that the Bulgarians will approach this match with a focus on defense, at least avoiding a heavy defeat, and perhaps even managing to secure a place in the tournament's group stage.
At first glance, it might seem that everything in this match is crystal clear, and the Bulgarian team will be dominated. However, Eintracht Frankfurt doesn't inspire much confidence at the moment, and there could be a competitive aspect to this encounter. One can take advantage of the fact that bookmakers have little faith in the away team and are offering a very high odds for them. My choice for this bet would be: Handicap (+2) on Levski.
Prediction for the match: Levski Sofia to win with +2.0 handicap.
