Egypt take on the visitors Malawi in the round 3 match of Africa Cup of Nations qualification. The match will be played on Friday, February 24th at Cairo International Stadium (Cairo).
Egypt seem to be struggling in official matches. Even in friendly matches, they can hold their own against the Belgians, but when it comes to qualification matches within the continent, the "Pharaohs" have a hard time. Egypt missed out on the World Cup as they performed very poorly in the qualifying rounds. Now, in the continental cup, they might not make it either, as they are currently at the bottom of their group after two rounds, having lost 0-2 to Ethiopia and barely beaten Guinea 1-0. Bookmakers have no doubts that the victory will stay with the hosts in the upcoming match, and it will be a confident one. However, I have my doubts, as Malawi in this qualifying round doesn't seem to be worse than the Egyptians.
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Malawi defeated Ethiopia 2-1 and lost to Guinea 0-1. Overall, the team is in a pretty good condition, and Malawi is currently on an eight-match unbeaten streak. They actively push their opponents towards peaceful matches, and end up with draws, but they also have their share of victories. It's also worth noting that since 2021, Malawi has not lost to anyone by more than one goal, and now they are on a streak of 16 matches in which they have not conceded more than one goal. Therefore, there are big doubts about whether this meeting will be easy for the Egyptians, as Malawi is a tough opponent. And it seems that the Egyptians might not be able to avoid losing points.
Well, it's clear that the Egyptian national team is much more top-rated by African standards, and the lineup there is much more recognizable. But now it remains to note that Malawi's results are no worse than those of the Egyptians, and to write off the guests here completely is not the best solution. So, I will stop here on the betting option: Handicap (+1.5) on Malawi. There is a high probability that if the hosts win here, the victory will be by a slim margin of one goal.
Prediction for the match: Malawi to win with +1.5 handicap.