Ecuador hosts Chile in round 6 of the World Cup qualification. The match will be played on Monday, September 6th at Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado (Quito)
Ecuador missed the last World Cup. But the Tricolors started the new qualifiers well and won three out of four matches in the fall of 2020. Beyond that, they gained a 2-1 over Bolivia in a friendly match in March. And then the Ecuadorians had a streak of seven matches without victories. Gustavo Alfaro's charges lost in both qualifying matches for the World Cup in June and never won at the Copa America. Thanks to the regulations (however, there was a draw against Brazil), three points were enough to progress from the group, but then the Tricolors suffered a 0-3 defeat from Argentina in the quarterfinals. This black streak was interrupted only this week. Until the 88th minute there was a goalless draw, but then Torres and Estrada brought a 2-0 win to Ecuador.
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Chile came to Russia only for the 2017 Confederations Cup, as the winner of the Copa America. This team quite unexpectedly failed the previous qualification. And even now it does not shine, playing in a draw very often. But at the continental tournament, Martin Lasarte's charges played quite a nice game, gaining a draw against Argentina and the early progress from the group. Perhaps, it would have been possible to go further than the quarterfinals if the Reds didn’t play against the Brazilians. Three days ago, the Chileans again played against Pentacampeons. And having a clear advantage (60% of the ball possession), they still lost to the visitors, who were forced to field the experimental lineup. Chile probably lacked Alexis Sanchez.
For a long time, the field factor played an important role in head-to-head matches. The host side won eight times in a row. This streak was interrupted only in 2019, and that was formally: the teams played at the Copa America in the Brazilian city of El Salvador. Experts believe that Ecuador has a chance to extend the winning streak, although it won't be the clear favorite. But we will bet on low production.
Prediction for the match: Under 2.5 goals scored
