Dundalk take on the visitors Shamrock Rovers in the round 22 match of Irish Premier Division. The match will be played on Friday, June 30th at Oriel Park (Dundalk).
Dundalk recently had a good streak of three consecutive victories, but it is unlikely that this team will be able to overcome the strongest team in the country, even at home. Let's go through it step by step. Firstly, in June, "The Lilywhites" only defeated opponents from the bottom half of the table: Drogheda United, Cork City, and UC Dublin. With all due respect, they are not on the same level as Shamrock Rovers. Secondly, as soon as Dundalk faced a more serious opponent, they dropped points, settling for a draw against Saint Patrick's Athletic in the last round (1-1). And thirdly, the hosts are objectively weaker than the reigning champions of the country. At the beginning of June, Dundalk lost to this opponent away from home (0-2). I believe they will, at best, manage a draw when playing at home.
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Shamrock Rovers are confidently moving towards another Irish championship, confirming its status as the strongest club in the country right now. They are leading the table with a seven-point lead over their closest competitors. In 23 rounds, they have suffered only three defeats and collected 13 out of 15 possible points in their last five league matches. Let's take a look at Rovers' recent results in the championship: a draw with Bohemians (2-2) and victories over Dundalk (2-0), Sligo Rovers (3-0), UC Dublin (4-0), and Derry City (1-0). As you can see, they have not experienced any losses, and in four out of five matches, the Over 1.5 goals bet was successful.
Considering all of the above, I consider the guests to be the favorites in this match. Most likely, they will even win, but just in case of a draw, I will secure my bet with an X2 option. It is hard to believe that Shamrock Rovers will be defeated since they clearly outclass the hosts. As for goals, both teams have been consistently hitting Over 1.5 goals in recent times. Moreover, in their three previous encounters, there were never fewer than two goals scored – three victories for Shamrock Rovers (3-0, 4-0, and 2-0). Overall, in 23 rounds of the current season, Shamrock Rovers have had 20 matches hitting Over 1.5 goals, while Dundalk had 19. I expect a minimum of two goals in this match and at least an unbeaten outcome for the guests.
Prediction for the match: Shamrock Rovers not to lose (X2).
