Degerfors take on the visitors Sirius in the round 15 match of Swedish Allsvenskan. The match will be played on Saturday, June 15th at Stora Valla (Degerfors).
Degerfors and Sirius have the same number of points, but Degerfors have played one more match in the championship. In 14 matches, Degerfors has only managed to secure four victories. Recently, they finally ended their winless streak in the league with a victory over Brommapojkarna (2-1). However, in the previous four matches, Degerfors was unable to win: a draw against Varberg (1-1) and defeats to Malmö (0-5), Kalmar (1-2), and Värnamo (0-2). I believe that the hosts have limited chances of success in the match against a direct competitor in the battle for survival.
Sirius are a neighboring team of Degerfors in the league table, but they have not suffered as many losses as their opponent in the current season. In 14 championship matches, Sirius has only been defeated six times. They did lose in their last two matches against Malmö (0-3) and Hammarby (1-2). However, prior to that, they secured three consecutive league victories over Brommapojkarna (2-1), Värnamo (2-0), and IFK Göteborg (2-0). Sirius is certainly capable of securing at least a draw in the upcoming match.
In the match between two neighboring teams and two relatively evenly matched squads, I give the edge to the visitors. They have scored the same number of goals as the hosts in the current season but have conceded significantly fewer goals. Sirius has fewer losses, while Degerfors has struggled to secure victories recently. Furthermore, the hosts have not defeated Sirius since 2016. In their four previous head-to-head matches, Sirius emerged victorious three times, with one draw. I will combine the bet for X2 (away team to win or draw) with Under 4.5 goals, as the head-to-head encounters between these teams have not been high-scoring. Since 2021, they have played four times, and in none of those matches was the Over 4.5 goals mark reached: 0-2, 1-2, 0-2, 0-0. I believe that Sirius will secure at least a draw, and there will be fewer than five goals in the match.
Prediction for the match: Sirius not to lose (X2).
