Darmstadt hosts St. Pauli in round 27 of German Bundesliga 2. The match will be played on Saturday, May 23rd at Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor (Darmstadt)
Darmstadt lost its first game after a forced pause and almost three months of stagnation. The team lost to the penultimate Karlsruher (2-0) and went down to the eighth line. But the game was played on the road. Such defeats were nor rare even before the quarantine. Darmstadt lost in five out of 12 away matches of the tournament.
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On the other hand, St. Pauli continued the championship with a home victory over Nurnberg. It somewhat pulled the Corsairs away from the relegation zone. Although they take a place in the middle of the standings (ninth), there are only five points ahead of the play-out games. And there are (I hope for sure) 10 more rounds to play.
In this situation, the home field does not seem to matter much since there will be no spectators. Yet, not a single away team managed to win in eight matches of the last round. St. Pauli will surely not be able to win in Darmstadt either. It just doesn’t know how to play against the Lilies, either at home or away. In the last 10 meetings, Darmstadt gained seven victories and one draw. And five matches were played in Darmstadt. The hosts won the last four games and tied once. That is, the Corsairs are rather convenient rivals for the Lilies, and the hosts will surely try to bounce back after a defeat in the last round. Besides, Darmstadt has chances to compete for a place in the playoffs, albeit theoretical – it lags nine points behind third Stuttgart. Therefore, Darmstadt is likely to beat St. Pauli again, but I will insure the hosts with X.
Prediction for the match: Darmstadt to win with +0.5 handicap
