Cruzeiro take on the visitors Fortaleza in the round 11 match of Brazilian Serie A. The match will be played on Thursday, June 22nd at Mineirão (Belo Horizonte).
Cruzeiro Mineiro don't look any better than their opponent in the new season. They are positioned next to Fortaleza-CE in the table, with an equal number of points. In ten championship matches, the team has only managed to secure four victories, winning less than half of their games. There are significant doubts about the home team's victory in the upcoming match, especially considering that Cruzeiro hasn't achieved a victory in their last four league matches: draws against Flamengo (1-1) and Bahia (2-2), and defeats to Cuiaba (0-1) and Atletico Mineiro (0-1).
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Fortaleza-CE are positioned right after Cruzeiro in the table. While the team wins less frequently than their opponent, they also have half as many losses. They have only been defeated twice in the current Brazilian championship. Yes, both losses occurred in their two previous away matches in the league. While the defeat against America Mineiro and being in the relegation zone was surprising, the loss away to Botafogo cannot be considered a catastrophe, as the latter is the current leader of the championship. Before these two losses, Fortaleza-CE earned points in away matches in the championship: 0-0 against Gremio, 1-1 against Corinthians, and 3-0 against Coritiba.
I believe there are chances for the guests to at least secure a draw in this match. I consider the odds below 2.0 for the hosts to be too low since we essentially have a match between two teams of similar strength. Fortaleza-CE has earned points in more than half of their away matches in the championship. On the other hand, the hosts are experiencing a slump and haven't won in their last four rounds. Specifically in home matches, Cruzeiro Mineiro doesn't appear to be a formidable force based on their recent results. Yes, they had two victories at the start against Gremio and Santos. However, afterward, the hosts suffered three consecutive home defeats: against Fluminense (0-2), Cuiaba (0-1), and Atletico Mineiro (0-1). Therefore, betting on X2, meaning a non-defeat for the guests, could work out. The last time these opponents faced each other was in 2019, and Fortaleza didn't suffer a defeat in both matches: a home victory of 2-1 and an away draw of 1-1.
Prediction for the match: Fortaleza not to lose (X2).
