Cruzeiro take on the visitors Flamengo in the round 27 match of Brazilian Serie A. The match will be played on Friday, October 20th at Mineirão (Belo Horizonte).
Cruzeiro Mineiro are a mid-tier team in the Brazilian top league, currently striving to secure a place in the top 12 of the table, which would grant them the right to play in the South American Cup in the new season. It's hard to call the Blue a team with a powerful attack. In 26 rounds, they've scored only 24 goals. Starting from August, only two out of nine matches involving Cruzeiro in the national championship have gone over 2.5 goals. While the Foxes have clear issues with scoring, they can play reliably in defense. In their last five home matches in Serie A, the Blue games have consistently ended with under 2.5 goals: a loss to Goias (0-1), draws with America Mineiro (1-1), Corinthians (1-1), Botafogo (0-0), and Bragantino (0-0).
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Flamengo, on the other hand, is a team of a slightly higher caliber, currently sitting in fifth place in the Serie A table, competing for championship medals and a spot in the Libertadores Cup. However, Rubro-Negro has played under 2.5 goals for three consecutive rounds: a win against Bahia (1-0), draws with Corinthians (0-0) and Goias (0-0). These were teams not significantly stronger than Cruzeiro and even placed lower in the table. Therefore, I don't consider the Red and Black as favorites in the upcoming away match against Cruzeiro, and I don't expect them to score many goals. Nonetheless, Flamengo's players are perfectly capable of defending reliably and not conceding, as they've demonstrated in three out of their last six league matches.
Both teams have recently alternated between successful and unsuccessful matches in the championship, displaying overall inconsistency in their results. However, in the head-to-head meeting between Fluminense and Corinthians, I still consider the Warriors as the favorites. Firstly, players from Rio de Janeiro are having a more successful season overall, with more ambitious goals in terms of their final position compared to their opponents. Secondly, this match is a home game for Fluminense, and in the current championship, the Warriors are outstanding at their home ground. Corinthians, on the other hand, can achieve many things on their home turf and hardly loses. But when playing away, they are an entirely different team, weak and unreliable. My prediction is Home Win.
Prediction for the match: Cruzeiro to win.
