Croatia faces Spain in the Euro 1/8 finals. The match will be played on Monday, June 28th at Parken Stadium (Copenhagen)
Having scored four points, Croatia advanced to the 1/8 finals from 2nd place in Group D, where they lost to the Englishmen (0-1), shared the points with the Czechs (1-1), and dealt with the Scottish national team (3-1). The Croats got a ticket to the knockout rounds only in the last game. Having scored one point in two starting matches, the finalists of the 2018 World Cup beat the Scots, who also claimed to progress from the group. The outcome of the match was decided by the confident actions of the experienced leaders of the Checkered Ones. Luka Modric and Ivan Perisic issued two (1+ 1) effective actions. Another goal was scored by the legionnaire from CSKA Moscow, Nikola Vlasic.
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Spain finished in 2nd place in Group E, gaining five points in matches against Sweden (0-0), Poland (1-1) and Slovakia (5-0). The Spanish national team left a mixed impression after the group stage. On the one hand, the Red Fury dominated in all three games and took 1st place among all teams in terms of average ball possession (75.7%). On the other hand, constant control of the ball did not lead to an advantage on the scoreboard due to offensive problems. The Spaniards turned out to be one of the worst teams in the group stage in terms of scoring chances (14.2%), and this let Enrique's men down against the Swedes and Poles. The Spanish national team was able to truly prove themselves only in the match against the Slovaks, who opened up after the curious own goal of goalkeeper Martin Dubravka. After that episode, the Spaniards scored three more goals through the efforts of Emeric Laporte, Pablo Sarabia, and Ferran Torres, and the defeat of the Slovaks was completed by Juraj Kucka's own goal.
In the upcoming game, Spain's chances of success are higher. The Red Fury has a young and mobile lineup, which can confuse the unreliable defense of the Croats due to the control of the ball and high speeds. If the Spaniards use scoring chances, as in the match against Slovakia, it will be difficult for Dalic's team to find counterarguments. Croatians are able to gain at least a draw due to the high performing skills of Modric, Perisic, and other experienced players. The Spaniards are potentially vulnerable on the defensive, and this could play in favor of a goal to the net of the Red Fury. In the match against the Swedes, the Spaniards should have conceded if the Scandinavians had used their rare one hundred percent chances. A similar picture was observed in the game with Poland, where the Spanish conceded from Robert Lewandowski. We think that the nominal hosts will manage to upset the opponent’s goalkeeper.
Prediction for the match: Croatia to score over 0.5 goals
