Cork City take on the visitors Drogheda in the round 22 match of Irish Premier Division. The match will be played on Friday, June 30th at Turners Cross (Cork).
Cork City are overall having a disappointing season and is positioned second to last in the table, fighting for survival. However, this team can be confidently called a home team as they have collected 16 out of 21 points in the championship on their home ground. In their last four league matches at home, Cork City suffered only one defeat (against Dundalk). They achieved victories over Sligo Rovers (1-0) and two capital giants, Shamrock Rovers (1-0) and Bohemians. I believe that in the home match against Drogheda United, the "Rebels" have a much better chance of winning than their opponents. At the very least, it is hard to believe in a loss for the hosts, and they should aim for a draw as a minimum.
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Drogheda United are not performing much better than their opponent in the current season and sits only two places above them in the table with just two additional points. In their last four league matches, the team only managed to defeat St. Patrick's (2-1), and even that was in a home match. They suffered three defeats: away against Shelbourne (2-3) and at home against Dundalk (1-2) and Cork City (0-1). The head-to-head meetings against Cork City have never been favorable for Drogheda. In their last five encounters, they were only able to take points once in a draw. In the other four cases, they suffered defeats.
Based on the statistics of their previous encounters and the fact that Cork City has been performing very well at home this season, I will place a bet on 1X and expect at least a non-loss for the hosts. Additionally, I might consider betting on Over 1.5 goals, which has been successful in the three previous matches involving Cork City and in the last three rounds involving Drogheda. Moreover, at least two goals have been observed in 14 out of 21 league matches for the away team and in 16 matches for the home team. Looking back at the two most recent head-to-head meetings on Cork City's field, the results were 1-1 and 5-0. The bet on 1X + Over 1.5 goals was successful comfortably. I believe it will work again in this match.
Prediction for the match: Cork City not to lose (1X) and Over 1.5 goals.