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Corinthians vs Fluminense Prediction 14 October 2021

Corinthians vs Fluminense Prediction 14 October 2021

Corinthians hosts Fluminense in round 26 of Brazilian Serie A. The match will be played on Thursday, October 14th at Neo Quimica Arena (Sao Paulo)

Corinthians scored and conceded in each of its previous eight home matches in the Brazilian Serie A. This is a real anomaly for the local championship, which is not very productive (this season - 2.24 goals per game, on average, in the past - 2.48, even earlier - 2.31, 2.18, and 2.43). And it cannot be said that the team prefers open football, which is why it regularly exchanges goals with its opponents. Timao does it less often away (only in 38% of cases). Obviously, the streak is overly prolonged and is about to end. Perhaps it will happen in the next round.

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Surprisingly, the recent away matches of Fluminense did not go without goals in both nets (2-2, 1-2, and 4-2), although it is listed among the less productive teams in the division. Almost half (42%) of the matches with its participation did not please the fans with more than one goal (that is, the game ended 0-0, 1-0 or 0-1). For example, the Saturday match against Atletico-GO ended without goals and even dangerous chances (except for Paulo's shot 15 minutes before the final whistle). Fluminense’s streak with such an abundance of goals in away matches will not last long either.

A scenario in which Corinthians will leave the field without knowing the joy of scoring is not excluded. In the last round, it did not create a single scoring chance in the away match against Sport Recife (0.47 xG, but each of the shots had a maximum of 0.09 xG). Before that, Timao didn’t create much in matches against Bragantino (0.73) and Palmeiras (0.55). That is, there is no margin of safety that would allow counting on a goal scored in every match. Fluminense, in turn, managed to fend off the attacks of Flamengo (0: 1) and hold back the onslaught of powerful Atlético Mineiro (1-1) until the 84th minute. Big Flu also has a chance not to concede.

Prediction for the match: Both teams to score — no

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Dylan McLaughlin
Football tipster