Colombia take on the visitors Uruguay in the round 3 match of FIFA World Cup 2026 qualification in South America. The match will be played on Thursday, October 11th at Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez (Barranquilla).
Colombia failed to qualify for the previous World Cup. The Coffee Growers participated in the 2014 and 2018 World Cups. In Brazil, they even reached the quarter-finals, and in the following World Cup, they progressed from the group stage. Moreover, in 2021, they secured a third-place finish in the Copa America, their best result to date. However, in the last qualification campaign, despite changing coaches, James Rodriguez and his teammates earned 23 points, narrowly missing out on fifth place to Peru by just one point. Their last hope was a potential disqualification of Ecuador, but Ecuador still made it to Qatar. In the new qualification cycle, under the leadership of Nestor Lorenzo, the Colombians began with a victory, albeit a narrow one, over the underdog, Venezuela. Following that 1-0 win, they played to a goalless draw against Chile.
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Uruguay is hoping for a successful qualification cycle. In the previous World Cup qualifying campaign, Uruguay managed to secure a place at the World Cup after replacing their long-time coach, Tabarez, with Alonso. However, they failed to advance to the knockout stage in Qatar, despite earning 4 points in their first three matches. It's no surprise that they were once again in search of a new coach after this. They managed to lure Marcelo Bielsa as their new coach. Bielsa initially demonstrated good results in friendly and control matches. In the current qualification campaign, they began with a confident 3-1 victory against Chile, but they suffered their first setback in an away match against Uruguay. Even though Cavani opened the scoring, Torres responded with a brace for Uruguay.
Uruguay has not lost in their last 5 meetings. However, in their last two duels, in the 2021 World Cup qualification and the Copa America, the matches ended in goalless draws. home team is considered the favorite in this matchup. However, considering how their recent matches against each other have ended and the way both teams have started this qualification cycle, I predict that the total goals scored in this match will be less than 2.5 goals.
Prediction for the match: Under 2.5 scored goals.
